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Effects of an Eventual Upcoming Withdrawal of Pension Funds

Published in Economics (Volume 13, Issue 3)
Received: 18 March 2024     Accepted: 1 April 2024     Published: 6 August 2024
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Abstract

The three withdrawals from pension funds injected almost US$ 50.000 billion into the market bringing with them inflationary pressures in the short and medium term, a decision that was harmful to people and companies. On the economic side, more than half of domestic inflation is due to the three withdrawals, decreasing the value of people´s money and increase the interest rates. On the pension side, eleven million people managed to withdraw their money and almost four million people were left without their funds. For women a drop of 33% in the amount of the future pension and for men a 24% on average. And on the financial side, a destruction of the capital market causing a significant drop in assets prices and companies to stop investing in big projects in Chile. During 2023, a new project was carried out on a new withdrawal of pension funds but it the form of a self-loan, a benefit that would have between one million and ten million Chilean pesos saved in their accounts to withdraw up to one million Chilean pesos. The purpose of this work is to see the effects of a possible fourth withdrawal from pension funds. And we conclude that an upcoming retirement has three consequences. In the economic sense, it would bring with another increase in the monetary base, which in turn translates into an increase in inflation. In the sense of pensions, more than three million people would again run out of funds and would cause a potential additional 16% drop in the amounts of future pension affecting the current saving of contributors. Finally, in the financial sense, the capital markets would be destroyed, causing a significant drop in assets prices and companies to stop investing in big projects in Chile.

Published in Economics (Volume 13, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11
Page(s) 71-75
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Inflation, Pensions, Injected Money, Capital Market, Economy

References
[1] Banco Central de Chile. Dinámicas y Determinantes de la Inflación en Chile. Banco Central de Chile. 2020. Diciembre.
[2] Banco Central de Chile. Informe de Política Monetaria. Banco Central de Chile. 2021. Diciembre.
[3] Banco Central de Chile. Informe de Política Monetaria. Banco Central de Chile. 2022. Marzo.
[4] Bruno, M. y W. Easterly. Inflation Crises and Long-run Growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 1998, 41(1): 3-26.
[5] De Gregorio, J Inflation, Taxation, and Long-run Growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 31(3): 271-298.
[6] De Gregorio, J. Sobre los Determinantes de la Inflación y sus Costos. Economía Chilena, 1998, 2(1): 23-42.
[7] Easterly, W. y S. Fischer. Inflation and the Poor. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2001, 33(2): 160-178.
[8] Fischer, G. Investment Choice and Inflation Uncertainty. Mimeo. London School of Economics. 2016.
[9] Fischer, S. The Role of Macroeconomics Factors in Growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 1993, 32(3): 485-512.
[10] Friedman, M. y A. Schwartz. A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960. 1963. Princeton. Nueva Jersey. Princeton University Press.
[11] Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas. Boletín Estadístico: Índice de Precios al Consumidor. Boletín Estadístico del Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas, 2023, Nª 290. Santiago.
[12] Pindyck, R. y A. Solimano. Economic Instability and Aggregate Investment. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 1993, Nª8: 259-318.
[13] Superintendencia de Pensiones. Efectos Previsionales de un Eventual Cuarto Retiro de los Fondos de Pensiones. 2021. Santiago, 18 de Agosto de 2021.
[14] Tommasi, M. The Consequences of Price Instability on Search Markets: Toward Understanding the Effects of Inflation. American Economics Review, 1994, 84(5): 1385-1396.
[15] White, W. Is Price Stability Enough? BIS Working Papers, 2006, Nª 205. Bank of International Settlements.
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  • APA Style

    Martínez, H. B. (2024). Effects of an Eventual Upcoming Withdrawal of Pension Funds. Economics, 13(3), 71-75. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11

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    ACS Style

    Martínez, H. B. Effects of an Eventual Upcoming Withdrawal of Pension Funds. Economics. 2024, 13(3), 71-75. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11

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    AMA Style

    Martínez HB. Effects of an Eventual Upcoming Withdrawal of Pension Funds. Economics. 2024;13(3):71-75. doi: 10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11

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  • @article{10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11,
      author = {Hernán Bustos Martínez},
      title = {Effects of an Eventual Upcoming Withdrawal of Pension Funds
    },
      journal = {Economics},
      volume = {13},
      number = {3},
      pages = {71-75},
      doi = {10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.eco.20241303.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.eco.20241303.11},
      abstract = {The three withdrawals from pension funds injected almost US$ 50.000 billion into the market bringing with them inflationary pressures in the short and medium term, a decision that was harmful to people and companies. On the economic side, more than half of domestic inflation is due to the three withdrawals, decreasing the value of people´s money and increase the interest rates. On the pension side, eleven million people managed to withdraw their money and almost four million people were left without their funds. For women a drop of 33% in the amount of the future pension and for men a 24% on average. And on the financial side, a destruction of the capital market causing a significant drop in assets prices and companies to stop investing in big projects in Chile. During 2023, a new project was carried out on a new withdrawal of pension funds but it the form of a self-loan, a benefit that would have between one million and ten million Chilean pesos saved in their accounts to withdraw up to one million Chilean pesos. The purpose of this work is to see the effects of a possible fourth withdrawal from pension funds. And we conclude that an upcoming retirement has three consequences. In the economic sense, it would bring with another increase in the monetary base, which in turn translates into an increase in inflation. In the sense of pensions, more than three million people would again run out of funds and would cause a potential additional 16% drop in the amounts of future pension affecting the current saving of contributors. Finally, in the financial sense, the capital markets would be destroyed, causing a significant drop in assets prices and companies to stop investing in big projects in Chile.
    },
     year = {2024}
    }
    

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    Y1  - 2024/08/06
    PY  - 2024
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    AB  - The three withdrawals from pension funds injected almost US$ 50.000 billion into the market bringing with them inflationary pressures in the short and medium term, a decision that was harmful to people and companies. On the economic side, more than half of domestic inflation is due to the three withdrawals, decreasing the value of people´s money and increase the interest rates. On the pension side, eleven million people managed to withdraw their money and almost four million people were left without their funds. For women a drop of 33% in the amount of the future pension and for men a 24% on average. And on the financial side, a destruction of the capital market causing a significant drop in assets prices and companies to stop investing in big projects in Chile. During 2023, a new project was carried out on a new withdrawal of pension funds but it the form of a self-loan, a benefit that would have between one million and ten million Chilean pesos saved in their accounts to withdraw up to one million Chilean pesos. The purpose of this work is to see the effects of a possible fourth withdrawal from pension funds. And we conclude that an upcoming retirement has three consequences. In the economic sense, it would bring with another increase in the monetary base, which in turn translates into an increase in inflation. In the sense of pensions, more than three million people would again run out of funds and would cause a potential additional 16% drop in the amounts of future pension affecting the current saving of contributors. Finally, in the financial sense, the capital markets would be destroyed, causing a significant drop in assets prices and companies to stop investing in big projects in Chile.
    
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